Well, well, what do you know? After all those years of horrific doomsday warnings about overpopulation, we’ve been successful in dramatically lowering our fertility rate. But it turns out that “successful” might not be quite the right word. Brace yourself for the coming Demographic Winter.
A new study released by the United Nations says:
- One person in nine in the world is over 60.
- Within a decade, there will be more than a billion of us over sixty.
- By 2050: two billion, even as total population begins to drop.
By then, 64 countries are expected to have a third of their population over 60.
One third. Think about that for just a moment.
Demographer Philip Longman says:
The ongoing global decline in human birthrates is the single most powerful force affecting the fate of nations and the future of society in the 21st century.
As our population ages at breakneck speed, Longman predicts:
- Severe labor shortages. The European Union, for example, expects a shortfall of 20 million workers by 2030.
- Collapse of the social welfare and healthcare systems. By 2050, industrialized nations will have two seniors for every child. A system in which fewer and fewer workers support more and more retirees will become unsustainable.
- Economic collapse. Can you name a society that has managed to combine population decline and economic growth? Didn’t think so.
Demographic Winter: the changing of the guard
Ironically, the U.N. study is published by the United Nations Population Fund (UNFPA), which had a big hand in creating the crisis they’re now documenting. UNFPA has spent years fighting to lower fertility rates. As part of that they’ve promoted abortion around the globe.
And been wildly successful at it, too. Since 1995, according to the Guttmacher Institute, the world abortion rate has hovered between 40 and 45 million annually.That was 1/3 of Gen Y. And 1/4 of the current generation. We wiped out, in other words, a good part of the generations on whom the burden of aging baby boomers will fall.
We had our own lives to live, after all. And they were parasites, with no independent life of their own. We couldn’t always provide for a helpless infant in the way we wanted to be able to. Sometimes, in fact, it was the kindest thing we could do.
That’s what we said, anyway, back when we had the power and babies were burdensome. In a world increasingly open to assisted suicide and euthanasia, I wonder what our children will say when they have the power and we are the burden.